2023 NFL Season: Ceiling and floor predictions for rookie QBs

There are four rookie quarterbacks of note in the 2023 NFL season that should see significant playing time. Let’s predict their seasons.  For these predictions, we’ll prediction what I believe to be their ceiling and floors.

I do think one of these quarterbacks has a chance to end up in the playoffs in the 2023 NFL season, and I also think another one of these QBs may just play very poorly in 2023.  There are so many factors that go into how a young QB develops and plays on the field.

Some think that them playing immediately is the best for their development, while some think that sitting a QB for a while while they soak up the NFL and learn from other QBs is the better route to take.

Let’s dive into these predictions.

2023 NFL Season: Ceiling and floor predictions for rookie QBs

Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers

Bryce Young was the first overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft and I think he ends up in a nearly perfect situation in Carolina.

Ceiling: I think the ceiling for Bryce Young is, on paper, similar to what Kyler Murray put up during his first year in the NFL.  Murray completed 64.4% of his passes for 3,722 yards, 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, earning a passer rating of 87.4.

If all goes well for Young and he is able to be the week one starter, head coach Frank Reich and the rest of the offensive staff, at best, should see Bryce Young as a game manager in year one while he gets used to the speed of the NFL.

Floor: I think the floor prediction for Bryce Young is something like throwing for the same number of touchdowns and interceptions.  He ends up not beating out Andy Dalton for week one and doesn’t start consistently.  He’s endures a rougher season than what some of us may expect, and maybe it’s just because he’s his own QB and figures out the NFL in a different want than some other QBs.