How far will Dwayne Haskins fall in the 2019 NFL draft?

There’s always one prospect who stuns the NFL draft community by dropping out of the first round, and signs are starting to point to Dwayne Haskins as a candidate who might suffer a draft-day free fall.

Ohio State quarterback Dwayne Haskins will be one of the more interesting storylines to follow in the 2019 NFL draft. Once considered the top quarterback prospect in the draft class, Haskins now looks like the favorite among the group to suffer the dreaded first-round slide.

In fact, Haskins is the only highly rated quarterback out of the big four — Haskins, Kyler Murray, Drew Lock and Daniel Jones — who won’t attend the NFL draft in Nashville, Tennessee.

Why is there fear for Haskins’ draft stock at this point? Is that fear warranted?

According to Senior Bowl Director and NFL draft analyst Jim Nagy, the answer is yes.

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Nagy responded to a tweet by former NFL linebacker Carl Banks who asked why a player like Haskins is falling down the draft board when he hasn’t done anything to hurt his stock since the end of the college football season. Great question. And Nagy answered it.

“He’s dropping because the media narrative pumped him too high in the first place,” Nagy said. “Media pumped him too high. The league doesn’t value him nearly as high. A couple media members pushed him. That’s all I can tell you. Feel bad for the player.”

Yikes. That doesn’t sound good.

Nagy’s opinion needs to be listened to. Carefully. He’s as tuned-in as any NFL draft analyst in the country right now largely because of the work he did at the Senior Bowl speaking with scouts and front-office executives. Plus, as a former scout in the league, he has a lot of connections that are legitimate, unlike some in the industry who disguise educated guesses with the word ‘source.’

This isn’t to say Nagy knows what team’s draft boards look like or that he knows exactly where Haskins ranks in any war room. But he certainly has a good grasp of what his former colleagues think of him; those former colleagues are the ones filing the scouting reports.

There’s still a very good chance Haskins will be a first-round pick. In fact, there’s no reason to believe he won’t be a top-20 pick. His tape is strong, his production is other-worldly, and his upside as a young potential franchise quarterback should keep him in the first round.

But he’s trending in the wrong direction at the worst possible time, and that usually results in draft-day disappointment.

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