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Is Kyler Murray losing grip on No. 1 pick overall?

By Bryan Perez

MIAMI, FL - DECEMBER 29: Kyler Murray #1 of the Oklahoma Sooners looks on in the in the third quarter during the College Football Playoff Semifinal against the Alabama Crimson Tide at the Capital One Orange Bowl at Hard Rock Stadium on December 29, 2018 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
MIAMI, FL - DECEMBER 29: Kyler Murray #1 of the Oklahoma Sooners looks on in the in the third quarter during the College Football Playoff Semifinal against the Alabama Crimson Tide at the Capital One Orange Bowl at Hard Rock Stadium on December 29, 2018 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images) /
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Is there a chance Kyler Murray won’t be the first overall pick? According to NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah, confidence is beginning to wane.

Oklahoma quarterback Kyler Murray has been the presumed first overall pick for the Arizona Cardinals since shortly after the 2019 NFL combine, and there’s been little hesitation among NFL draft analysts to essentially write his name in pen in the hundreds — if not thousands — of mock drafts produced since February.

But maybe it’s time to pump the brakes just a bit.

NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah is one of the most respected evaluators in the draft community, and his past experience working in the league as a scout created connections who feed him information throughout the draft process.

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So when Jeremiah offers a breadcrumb or two, it’s worth noting.

He dropped more than a breadcrumb on Twitter Monday when he tweeted his waning confidence in Murray as the likely No. 1 pick.

“April 1 confidence meter: Kyler Murray will be the first overall pick, 90%,” Jeremiah wrote of his feelings that Murray will be the top pick. “April 15 confidence meter Kyler Murray will be the first overall pick, 60%.”

That’s a big, big drop for Jeremiah, who’s essentially calling it a near-tossup right now. He didn’t elaborate on why he’s not as sold on Murray with just under two weeks to go before the Cardinals announce their pick, aside from suggesting player visits are contributing to his hesitation, but there’s no reason to assume he’s going off merely a gut feeling.

It’s also worth noting there’s been no movement on Josh Rosen. If the Cardinals are all-in on Murray, it would seem logical that they’d have parameters of a trade at least bubbling to the surface by now.

At the end of the day, it would be a complete shock if Arizona doesn’t select Murray first overall. He’s the player who can make the highest impact on their franchise in the shortest period of time. The only way they won’t select him is if they trade out of the No.1 pick, which doesn’t seem likely at this point.

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